Ocasio 70 Percent Tax On The Rich

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Contrarian conservative Ann Coulter bucked the backlash against Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., for her proposed income tax on the mega-rich. In a '60 Minutes' interview airing Sunday night, the freshman lawmaker floated the idea of a 'Green New Deal' to stop the climate change crisis that could be funded with a $70 percent income tax on $10 million annual earners. Independent voters who were contacted backed the tax idea by a 60 to 40 percent margin while Democratic ones favored it, 71 percent to 29 percent. Ocasio-Cortez is among a group of progressive. Ocasio-Cortez suggested a 70 percent marginal tax rate on the very wealthy to fund America's desperately needed priorities, emphatically including drastic changes to face the realities of climate change, and the Overton Window eased up an inch to accommodate this hot new draft of change. Americans for Tax Reform director of strategic initiatives Paul Blair weighs in on Ocasio-Cortez's proposed tax hike. The top marginal tax rate in the United States was above 90 percent in much of the 1950s and early 1960s, and the rate was 70 percent as recently as 1980.That year, the 70-percent rate applied to.

Asked earlier in January by '60 Minutes,' how she might pay for a Green New Deal, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez noted that top marginal tax rates in the mid-20th century were 'as high as 60 percent or 70 percent.' A slewofarticles have since debated whether higher tax rates would actually raise much revenue. But these articles miss the point. Taxes on the very wealthy are corrective taxes, like tobacco taxes, that should be judged by their societal impact, not simply their revenues. The purpose of high tax rates on the rich is the reduction of vast fortunes that give a handful of people a level of power incompatible with democracy.

Among progressive economists, Ocasio-Cortez's comments have mostly been received with something akin to relief. Though top marginal income tax rates were, for decades, substantially higher than 70 percent, even Sen. Bernie Sanders' 2016 plan to fund 'Medicare for All' tapped out at a top rate of 52 percent. For liberals, high tax proposals have long remained taboo. Now, it seems, that barrier has finally been broken.

For liberals, high tax proposals have long remained taboo. Now, it seems, that barrier has finally been broken.

At the same time, Ocasio-Cortez's suggestion is not that novel when compared to plans floated by Democratic presidential hopefuls. Sen. Elizabeth Warren, for instance, has just announced a new 'wealth tax' and had previously put forward a plan to create three million new housing units, paid for with a lower exemption and new progressive rates for the estate tax. Sanders has suggested offsetting some of the cost of universal Medicare with more progressive income and estate taxes, plus a wealth tax on the richest 0.1 percent of households. Sen. Cory Booker has argued that 're-adjusting the estate tax to what it was in '09' would cover the cost of 'baby bonds,' nest eggs designed to help low-income kids cover the cost of college or a house down-payment. After decades of taxphobia, Democrats are increasingly willing to link costly public investments with tax increases for the rich.

Intuitive as it is to link progressive taxation to progressive spending, the tactic invites debate about how much revenue top marginal tax rates can raise.

My colleagues at the Tax Policy Center helped the Washington Post calculate how much money could be obtained from tax increases on the very wealthiest Americans; some plans would raise up to three trillion dollars over a decade. Others have asserted that Ocasio-Cortez's plan could not raise much money at all.

Again, the revenue question is the wrong question. Not because talking about revenue plays into a Republican strategy of deeply hypocritical deficit fear mongering­­­­ — though it does. Not because extracting money from rich people is easy; there are serious technical questions about how to implement taxes on the very wealthy. The problem with using revenue to justify progressive taxation is that over time, an effective progressive tax system should actually raise less and less money.

Progressive taxation should work as a corrective tax, like tobacco taxes or a carbon tax. Sure, tobacco taxes raise some revenue for the states. But their primary purpose is to curb smoking. While a carbon tax could produce a lot of government revenue, the real point is to limit global warming pollution. In essence, corrective taxes try to put themselves out of business; if tobacco tax revenues decline because people quit smoking, or if carbon taxes stop rolling in because the economy becomes fossil-free, that is victory, not defeat.

The problem with using revenue to justify progressive taxation is that over time, an effective progressive tax system should actually raise less and less money.

Taxes on the wealthy discourage a different societal ill: exploitative capitalism. Progressive tax policy is a powerful corrective to economic inequality and wealth concentration. As economists Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez concluded in their seminal paper on U.S. income inequality, 'steep progressive income and estate taxation' helped prevent the accumulation of immense fortunes in the middle of the 20th century. In cross-national data, moreover, there is a 'strong negative correlation between top tax rates and top 1% income share.' In other words, where top tax rates are higher, the income distribution is more egalitarian – not just post-tax, but even before taxes are taken out.

That's because progressive taxes blunt the incentives for wealthy people to overpay one another and exploit the less privileged. For instance, contemporary CEOs are often financially rewarded for what is in essence good luck: changes in market conditions that have nothing to do with their individual performance. High tax rates discourage these CEO windfalls, leaving more money available for companies to invest productively. That means higher marginal tax rates make the economy fairer and more productive — and have nonegativeeffect on growth, no matter what billionaires at the World Economic Forum prefer to believe.

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When asked whether he supports @aoc's plan for plutos like him to pay higher taxes, Dell says he opposes it, using philanthropy as the excuse.

He says he and his wife spend the better than government. This is how giving is used to push austerity. https://t.co/rGZRWyIY6q

— Anand Giridharadas (@AnandWrites) January 24, 2019

Ocasio 70 percent tax on the rich
A hypothetical example explains the mechanism. Imagine if you are a CEO, already making enough to be in the top income tax bracket. If the marginal tax rate in that bracket is 70 percent, any increase you get in pay is going to cost your company a little over three times what you'll actually take home. The rest will go to Uncle Sam. No wonder company boards become more discerning in approving executive pay increases. High tax rates make it a lot more costly for wealthy people to fling money at one another for no reason.

This has an implication for public budgets; to the extent that individuals' fortunes are reduced from the obscene to the merely very large, top marginal tax rates collect less revenue.

It would be an error, then, to use revenue as the sole justification for progressive taxation. This is not to say that Democrats are making a strategic mistake in pairing, rhetorically or even legislatively, big spending programs with progressive taxes. Both proposals are popular, after all.

Most Americans believe taxes should be progressive. Asked what bothers them about taxes, the top two answers are that corporations and the wealthy are not paying their fair share. Even as the Republican Congress was passing the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act that slashed corporate tax rates, barely over a third of Republican voters thought rich people's taxes should go down.

Americans are also remarkably open to big social programs. For generations, scholars of public opinion have described Americans as 'philosophical conservatives,' who like small government in principle, but 'operational liberals,' who want their government to invest more in health care, education, infrastructure and support for the poor.

It would be absurd, then, to decry politicians for making proposals that provide two things Americans want: a stronger social safety net and higher taxes on the rich. But proponents of high taxes on the rich should recall how the case for these policies was made in the first place.

The democratic argument was once central to the case for progressive taxation. In 1910, Theodore Roosevelt called for progressive income and estate taxes because, 'unfair money-getting has tended to create a small class of enormously wealthy and economically powerful men, whose chief object is to hold and increase their power.' The goal of progressive taxation, for Roosevelt, was 'to change the conditions which enable these men to accumulate power which it is not for the general welfare that they should hold or exercise.'

Early proponents of progressive tax policy knew that it was not just a revenue source. In our contemporary Gilded Age, and as our political institutions feel pushed to the breaking point, we would do well to remember that progressive taxation is a democratic reform.

Ocasio 70 Percent Tax On The Rich

Last week, when 60 Minutes aired an interview with newly sworn-in Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the freshman New York congressperson caused an uproar with what, by Washington standards, seemed a rather immodest proposal. Asked whether an expansion of public investment in green technologies would require raising taxes, she cited history.

Ultimately, finding an optimal tax rate for the super-rich is a moral and political issue as much as an economic one.

'You look at our tax rates back in the 60s… [and] on your 10 millionth dollar, sometimes you see tax rates as high as 60 or 70 percent,' Ocasio-Cortez explained. Given that a 70 percent tax on the wealthy would be nearly double the current rate on top earners, CBS's Anderson Cooper responded with disbelief. ​'What you are talking about…' he said, ​'is a radical agenda compared to the way politics is done now.'

Ocasio 70 Percent Tax On The Rich Person

Cooper was not the only one to express skepticism. While conservatives were predictably apoplectic, even ranking Democrats on the House Ways and Means Committee, responsible for drafting the tax code, were incredulous. Texas Democrat Lloyd Doggett described Ocasio-Cortez's suggestion as ​'a little over the top.' New Jersey Democrat Bill Pascrell dismissed it as ​'comical.'

In fact, Ocasio-Cortez's comments represent good policymaking. Both looking abroad and in terms of the United States' own history, there is strong evidence to support the benefits of higher taxes on the super-rich. But more than looking at her off-handed response as an actual proposal or a final policy goal, her comments should serve as an opening to a broader conversation.

Yes, we should be asking what is the optimal tax rate on the wealthy for an expansion of public investment in necessary goods and services. But we should also consider a more fundamental question: Do we really want to live in a society in which those at the top can make hundreds or even thousands of times as much money as those toiling at the bottom?

Taxing the rich is popular — and makes good economic sense

In the fallout from Ocasio-Cortez's interview, economist and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman was quick to point out that her view of optimal tax rates was far from controversial.

Ocasio 70 Percent Tax On The Rich Poor

A flight of prominent academics, including Nobel laureate Peter Diamond, whom Krugman describes as ​'arguably the world's leading expert on public finance,' have concurred that a top tax rate of over 70 percent would be entirely reasonable. ​'Some put it higher,' Krugman noted. ​'Christina Romer, top macroeconomist and former head of President Obama's Council of Economic Advisers, estimates [the optimal rate for the top tax bracket] at more than 80 percent.'

America indeed long had tax rates on the rich that reached the levels Ocasio-Cortez proposed or higher, while the nation experienced massive economic expansion. In fact, she understated the rates from the past: For two decades after World War II, until 1964, the marginal tax rate on the highest bracket hovered around 91 percent.

For a married couple in 1960, that applied to income earned above $400,000, the equivalent of approximately $3 million today. Yet this was the period in which the United States economy boomed most dramatically, when college students could reliably expect both a new car and a home mortgage after graduation. The annual growth rate in GDP reached levels as high as 7 and 8 percent.

There are also international precedents to suggest that taxing the super-rich yields substantial public benefits. Sweden has taxes on high incomes comparable to Ocasio-Cortez's 70 percent proposal, with current rates of economic growth and labor-force participation greater than in the United States. Before Margaret Thatcher's Tory government cut taxes on the wealthy in the 1980s, the United Kingdom long maintained top rates in excess of 75 percent, with additional surcharges on investment income.

While, like in the United States, inequality has soared in Britain in recent decades (the tax rate on income earned above £150,000, or about $200,000, is now 45 percent) its history of higher rates was part of the broader arsenal of social-democratic policies aimed at making the country a more fair and just place for its residents. These include public hospitals accessible to all, just as primary and secondary schools are in the United States. They also include at least 28 days of guaranteed paid vacation for all workers.

Ocasio 70 percent tax on the rich poor

In contrast, there is no economic consensus on the upside of cutting top tax rates. The historical evidence is unambiguous: Over the past 40 years, slashing taxes on the rich has had no discernable positive effect on investment or innovation. On the contrary, both have slowed.

'Right now the main economic puzzle in macroeconomics is that corporate profits are very, very high,' says Marshall Steinbaum, an economist and Research Director at the Roosevelt Institute. ​'At the same time, corporate investment and innovation [are] at all-time lows. Productivity growth is stagnant.' Despite repeatedly implementing the tax policy prescribed by right-wing thinkers, the United States has failed to reap the supposed benefits.

Part of the Republican counterattack on Ocasio-Cortez has involved attempting to scare the public with the idea that, under her plan, everybody's income will be taxed at the same, higher level. But, as Ocasio-Cortez herself has repeatedly explained, that's not how marginal rates work. Even for someone making $12 million per year, the 70 percent tax would only kick in on the last $2 million. Your first $10 million would be taxed at lower rates.

The idea of applying such a levy on the extreme income of the wealthy is also very popular. A recent Hill-HarrisX survey shows that 59 percent of registered voters support Ocasio-Cortez's proposal of raising the top marginal tax rate to 70 percent — with 45 percent of Republican voters saying they favor the concept.

Ocasio 70 Percent Tax On The Rich

Toward a more equal society

Higher taxes on the rich could go a long way towards creating higher-quality public schools, free higher education, universal healthcare and a Green New Deal. According to the Washington Post, Ocasio-Cortez's hike on the top tax bracket could generate $72 billion per year in revenue.

Some progressives — notably advocates of Modern Monetary Theory, a brand popularized by the economists Stephanie Kelton and L. Randall Wray — dispute the necessity of such funding. They argue the government need not be preoccupied with raising taxes, as it can comfortably borrow to stimulate the economy and make socially productive investments. But a higher tax on top earners is not just about generating revenue. Rather, taxes on the ultra-wealthy can be seen as goods in their own right, as tools for fighting runaway income inequality.

There is a surfeit of reasons for proactively combating inequality. Though economists debate the reasons for the effect, there iswidespreadconsensus that increasing inequality contributes to slower growth in the economy.

Inequality fuels negative public health outcomes, and, among psychologists, it is now considered a causal factor in aggregate rates of mental illnesses and personality disorders. It also fuels social distrust. Asked whether ​'most people can be trusted,' 60 to 65 percent in more equal countries agree, compared to 20 percent in more unequal societies. And a billionaire class risks turning democracy into oligarchy.

In this context, proposals for higher taxes on the super-rich — even those that would use the tax code to create a de facto maximum income — might have socially beneficial consequences that have little to do with government revenue.

Tax
A hypothetical example explains the mechanism. Imagine if you are a CEO, already making enough to be in the top income tax bracket. If the marginal tax rate in that bracket is 70 percent, any increase you get in pay is going to cost your company a little over three times what you'll actually take home. The rest will go to Uncle Sam. No wonder company boards become more discerning in approving executive pay increases. High tax rates make it a lot more costly for wealthy people to fling money at one another for no reason.

This has an implication for public budgets; to the extent that individuals' fortunes are reduced from the obscene to the merely very large, top marginal tax rates collect less revenue.

It would be an error, then, to use revenue as the sole justification for progressive taxation. This is not to say that Democrats are making a strategic mistake in pairing, rhetorically or even legislatively, big spending programs with progressive taxes. Both proposals are popular, after all.

Most Americans believe taxes should be progressive. Asked what bothers them about taxes, the top two answers are that corporations and the wealthy are not paying their fair share. Even as the Republican Congress was passing the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act that slashed corporate tax rates, barely over a third of Republican voters thought rich people's taxes should go down.

Americans are also remarkably open to big social programs. For generations, scholars of public opinion have described Americans as 'philosophical conservatives,' who like small government in principle, but 'operational liberals,' who want their government to invest more in health care, education, infrastructure and support for the poor.

It would be absurd, then, to decry politicians for making proposals that provide two things Americans want: a stronger social safety net and higher taxes on the rich. But proponents of high taxes on the rich should recall how the case for these policies was made in the first place.

The democratic argument was once central to the case for progressive taxation. In 1910, Theodore Roosevelt called for progressive income and estate taxes because, 'unfair money-getting has tended to create a small class of enormously wealthy and economically powerful men, whose chief object is to hold and increase their power.' The goal of progressive taxation, for Roosevelt, was 'to change the conditions which enable these men to accumulate power which it is not for the general welfare that they should hold or exercise.'

Early proponents of progressive tax policy knew that it was not just a revenue source. In our contemporary Gilded Age, and as our political institutions feel pushed to the breaking point, we would do well to remember that progressive taxation is a democratic reform.

Last week, when 60 Minutes aired an interview with newly sworn-in Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the freshman New York congressperson caused an uproar with what, by Washington standards, seemed a rather immodest proposal. Asked whether an expansion of public investment in green technologies would require raising taxes, she cited history.

Ultimately, finding an optimal tax rate for the super-rich is a moral and political issue as much as an economic one.

'You look at our tax rates back in the 60s… [and] on your 10 millionth dollar, sometimes you see tax rates as high as 60 or 70 percent,' Ocasio-Cortez explained. Given that a 70 percent tax on the wealthy would be nearly double the current rate on top earners, CBS's Anderson Cooper responded with disbelief. ​'What you are talking about…' he said, ​'is a radical agenda compared to the way politics is done now.'

Ocasio 70 Percent Tax On The Rich Person

Cooper was not the only one to express skepticism. While conservatives were predictably apoplectic, even ranking Democrats on the House Ways and Means Committee, responsible for drafting the tax code, were incredulous. Texas Democrat Lloyd Doggett described Ocasio-Cortez's suggestion as ​'a little over the top.' New Jersey Democrat Bill Pascrell dismissed it as ​'comical.'

In fact, Ocasio-Cortez's comments represent good policymaking. Both looking abroad and in terms of the United States' own history, there is strong evidence to support the benefits of higher taxes on the super-rich. But more than looking at her off-handed response as an actual proposal or a final policy goal, her comments should serve as an opening to a broader conversation.

Yes, we should be asking what is the optimal tax rate on the wealthy for an expansion of public investment in necessary goods and services. But we should also consider a more fundamental question: Do we really want to live in a society in which those at the top can make hundreds or even thousands of times as much money as those toiling at the bottom?

Taxing the rich is popular — and makes good economic sense

In the fallout from Ocasio-Cortez's interview, economist and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman was quick to point out that her view of optimal tax rates was far from controversial.

Ocasio 70 Percent Tax On The Rich Poor

A flight of prominent academics, including Nobel laureate Peter Diamond, whom Krugman describes as ​'arguably the world's leading expert on public finance,' have concurred that a top tax rate of over 70 percent would be entirely reasonable. ​'Some put it higher,' Krugman noted. ​'Christina Romer, top macroeconomist and former head of President Obama's Council of Economic Advisers, estimates [the optimal rate for the top tax bracket] at more than 80 percent.'

America indeed long had tax rates on the rich that reached the levels Ocasio-Cortez proposed or higher, while the nation experienced massive economic expansion. In fact, she understated the rates from the past: For two decades after World War II, until 1964, the marginal tax rate on the highest bracket hovered around 91 percent.

For a married couple in 1960, that applied to income earned above $400,000, the equivalent of approximately $3 million today. Yet this was the period in which the United States economy boomed most dramatically, when college students could reliably expect both a new car and a home mortgage after graduation. The annual growth rate in GDP reached levels as high as 7 and 8 percent.

There are also international precedents to suggest that taxing the super-rich yields substantial public benefits. Sweden has taxes on high incomes comparable to Ocasio-Cortez's 70 percent proposal, with current rates of economic growth and labor-force participation greater than in the United States. Before Margaret Thatcher's Tory government cut taxes on the wealthy in the 1980s, the United Kingdom long maintained top rates in excess of 75 percent, with additional surcharges on investment income.

While, like in the United States, inequality has soared in Britain in recent decades (the tax rate on income earned above £150,000, or about $200,000, is now 45 percent) its history of higher rates was part of the broader arsenal of social-democratic policies aimed at making the country a more fair and just place for its residents. These include public hospitals accessible to all, just as primary and secondary schools are in the United States. They also include at least 28 days of guaranteed paid vacation for all workers.

In contrast, there is no economic consensus on the upside of cutting top tax rates. The historical evidence is unambiguous: Over the past 40 years, slashing taxes on the rich has had no discernable positive effect on investment or innovation. On the contrary, both have slowed.

'Right now the main economic puzzle in macroeconomics is that corporate profits are very, very high,' says Marshall Steinbaum, an economist and Research Director at the Roosevelt Institute. ​'At the same time, corporate investment and innovation [are] at all-time lows. Productivity growth is stagnant.' Despite repeatedly implementing the tax policy prescribed by right-wing thinkers, the United States has failed to reap the supposed benefits.

Part of the Republican counterattack on Ocasio-Cortez has involved attempting to scare the public with the idea that, under her plan, everybody's income will be taxed at the same, higher level. But, as Ocasio-Cortez herself has repeatedly explained, that's not how marginal rates work. Even for someone making $12 million per year, the 70 percent tax would only kick in on the last $2 million. Your first $10 million would be taxed at lower rates.

The idea of applying such a levy on the extreme income of the wealthy is also very popular. A recent Hill-HarrisX survey shows that 59 percent of registered voters support Ocasio-Cortez's proposal of raising the top marginal tax rate to 70 percent — with 45 percent of Republican voters saying they favor the concept.

Toward a more equal society

Higher taxes on the rich could go a long way towards creating higher-quality public schools, free higher education, universal healthcare and a Green New Deal. According to the Washington Post, Ocasio-Cortez's hike on the top tax bracket could generate $72 billion per year in revenue.

Some progressives — notably advocates of Modern Monetary Theory, a brand popularized by the economists Stephanie Kelton and L. Randall Wray — dispute the necessity of such funding. They argue the government need not be preoccupied with raising taxes, as it can comfortably borrow to stimulate the economy and make socially productive investments. But a higher tax on top earners is not just about generating revenue. Rather, taxes on the ultra-wealthy can be seen as goods in their own right, as tools for fighting runaway income inequality.

There is a surfeit of reasons for proactively combating inequality. Though economists debate the reasons for the effect, there iswidespreadconsensus that increasing inequality contributes to slower growth in the economy.

Inequality fuels negative public health outcomes, and, among psychologists, it is now considered a causal factor in aggregate rates of mental illnesses and personality disorders. It also fuels social distrust. Asked whether ​'most people can be trusted,' 60 to 65 percent in more equal countries agree, compared to 20 percent in more unequal societies. And a billionaire class risks turning democracy into oligarchy.

In this context, proposals for higher taxes on the super-rich — even those that would use the tax code to create a de facto maximum income — might have socially beneficial consequences that have little to do with government revenue.

For one, raising taxes on the rich can help to lessen their disproportionate political power. Curtailing incomes over $10 million per year will help curb the ability of the rich to buy influence through campaign contributions, dark money issue campaigns, lobbying, and nonprofits aimed at undermining unions, attacking environmental regulations, or promoting further tax cuts.

High marginal rates can also change labor relations, altering business incentives and shifting bargaining dynamics in American workplaces. ​'We know the things that rich people do in order to be rich come at the expense of everybody else,' Steinbaum argues. He imagines a situation in which the tax code effectively capped the earnings of multi-millionaires: ​'In a labor-bargaining context,' Steinbaum says, ​'if the boss's marginal tax rate is 100 percent, he's going to care less about outsourcing labor, about squeezing workers, about doing everything that bosses do in order to squeeze a marginal dollar out of their workforce, or out of their supply chain, or out of any other economic stakeholder they deal with. So the point of the tax policy is to equalize bargaining power throughout the economy.'

While higher income taxes would help to address inequality, abolishing the ultra-rich altogether would require measures to address the vast concentrations of wealth that have already amassed.

'Ideally, we should be taxing wealth as well as income,' says J.W. Mason, an economist at John Jay College. ​'We do tax the wealth of middle class people — in the form of property taxes on people's homes — but we don't tax the wealth of the rich, which is more likely to be in a portfolio of financial assets. If you are super-rich, although you might pay taxes on capital gains or inheritance, you don't pay any taxes on your financial assets simply by virtue of owing them,' Mason explains.

Ocasio 70 Percent Tax On The Richest

In contrast, he says, ​'France has a wealth tax that has existed since the French Revolution' — and indeed Emmanuel Macron's move to cut it was one of the factors that fueled the recent Yellow Vest protests.

Ocasio 70 Percent Tax On The Rich Asians

'Concentration of wealth may be even more problematic than the concentration of income, in terms of the political power it gives you and what it does to perpetuate inequality from generation to generation,' Mason contends.

Ocasio 70 Percent Tax On The Rich

Ultimately, finding an optimal tax rate for the super-rich is a moral and political issue as much as an economic one. In a country where the influence of the billionaire class is posing an increasing challenge to democracy, Ocasio-Cortez's proposal for restoring the kind of taxes that existed through America's postwar boom should be seen as but a sensible starting point on the path to more far-reaching change.





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